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President's Order: All persons are required to deliver

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Last Tuesday, gold reached an all-time high price of $1,917.90 USD per ounce, which translates to around $72 AUD per gram of 24K gold. Since then, the price has dropped a little, and it is currently sitting at AUD $70.99 per gram.

Since January 2019, gold has been reaching historically high prices and if you invested in gold in January, you would have made a killing. The chart below shows the crazy spike.
The question is: Should you buy some gold today?

Of course, I am not a financial adviser and what follows is not my advice, just my personal opinion. I don’t have any gold myself and I have no plans to buy any, even if I had cash to spare. But I did look at this very chart in January because we are planning to make a few gold watch cases next year, therefore buying some raw material made sense. However, I didn’t – and I don’t regret the decision.

Here are a couple of things to be aware of before you decide to invest in gold:

1.  The spot price is not the price of actual gold you will be buying – there is a premium on top which is paid to merchant / dealer / supplier. For example, 1kg gold bar ($71,000) would attract an additional transaction fee of $750. Or worse if you chose to buy 10 x 100g bars, then paying premium on the lot would be around $1,400. This is simply the cost of buying gold.

2.  The only way to pay for gold is by direct bank transfer - no cash or credit cards.

3.  You've got your gold – so where are you going to store it? Under the mattress? In a flimsy home safe? A bank deposit box? It is essential that you understand and evaluate the process of physically storing gold BEFORE you actually buy any. Keep in mind that the contents of your bank deposit box is your liability. While a bank provides storage space, it does not insure the contents. Physical gold is a mental burden, regardless of where it's stored. And before you think about it, storing it at home is the worst option.

4.  Most investors prefer to store gold with gold merchants who provide a storage service. But just think for a moment: the person/business who sold you the gold is now the same person/business who is going to look after it for you for many years to come. That’s plenty of trust. If you don’t trust Westpac or Commonwealth Bank, how can you trust a private bank?

In general, Gold merchants offer 3 types of service:

a.  Pool Allocated Storage: instead of buying actual gold, you are buying a share in a ‘pool of gold’. There is no storage fees – because there is no actual gold to store. The real gold is stored somewhere else (?).

b.  Secure storage: your gold is in the physical care of a merchant or his agent or supplier (?). If / when you wish to see or collect the gold you’ve paid for, you will receive exactly the same amount of gold you’ve bought – except it could be any gold they have in stock. And yes, there is a storage fee.

c.  Premium Storage: this is really true storage of your gold. For example, if the bar you’ve bought is numbered, you will collect exactly the same bar in future. Premium storage fees apply.

5.  Gold is dead money. When stored, gold generates negative income.

6.  The spot price of gold goes up and down. While the top chart shows the price of gold steadily raised over the past two decades, the inflation adjusted chart below tells a different story: the value of gold (it’s buying power) peaked in the 1980s. The year to invest in gold was around 2000. We’ve missed the boat!
7.  Selling. Who wants your gold? A gold merchant, of course! He would be happy to pay you the spot price less his commission (2% ?). However, you would need to physically take the gold to his office (shipping cost? insurance?).

8.  Is gold a liquid asset? Depends. You can not simply chop off a few grams of the gold bar to pay for food or rent, so it is not liquid for small payments. Buying gold coins may sound like a good idea, but unless kept mint and in original wrap, they are worth scrap value.

9.  No tax benefits! Even if you ever make money trading gold, as an individual, profit on gold is taxed at the capital gains marginal rate you are currently on and there are no franking benefits (consult your accountant?).

10. Why could buying gold be an outright stupid decision? Because the Government has sticky fingers. There is one important history lesson we should never forget: 1933 and Eisenhower's Government Act  "forbidding the hoarding of gold coin, gold bullion, and gold certificates within the continental United States". The order was made under the authority of the Trading with the Enemy Act. Eisenhower made the possession of physical gold illegal. Either you sell us your gold, or else. The US bought almost all privately own gold at the price of $20.67 per ounce. Immediately after the buyback, gold price was set to $35 effectively making an instant 66% profit (devaluing the paper money by even more). For decades, American citizens fought hard for their right to own gold, but that right was granted only in the 1970s when the Government no longer needed gold reserve backing to print money.
During rough times - such as war or other major financial crisis - there is nothing which would prevent Government to 'buy' or even confiscate any assets. Such an order would be in 'National interest ' and easy to justify. Government do not want your house or business, or worthless cash savings, because such assets cannot be traded with foreign Government. But gold easily could.

Where is Australian gold reserve deposit stored? In London.

11. Who decides what is gold worth? The daily spot price is determined by a handful of bankers who get on the phone twice a day to set the price. The process itself is called The London Gold Fixing (yes this is the official term!) The gold price fix is conducted in USD, GBP and EUR daily at 10:30AM and 3PM, London time.

Yet Price fixing is illegal in Australia under the Competition and Consumer Act 2010, with considerably similar prohibitions in the US and Canada. Is gold price fixing exempt from price fixing that regulates any other commodity?

12. Personally, I think that gold is a ‘burdensome asset’. Its value is manipulated by big players and it is very sensitive to global economic volatility. Not for me.

Just my 2c worth. Again, not an advice of any kind, so do as pleased. 

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